In a simulation by the Center on New Generation Warfare, a hypothetical Russian attack on Lithuania in 2027 was strategized. The scenario, presented on the Lrytas YouTube channel, outlines an aggressive move from Russia with previous occupations of Estonia and Latvia. High-profile military figures, such as US Generals Philip Breedlove and Ben Hodges, contributed to this computer-based military exercise. This simulated scenario involved a projected ten-day delay before NATO would invoke Article 5, revealing a strategic examination of NATO’s potential response to a Russian offensive. Central to this scenario are German troops stationed in Lithuania, who play a vital role in protecting the Baltic states. Germany plans to increase its contingent to a full brigade in Lithuania by 2027. The exercise serves to explore NATO’s capabilities and develop strategies to protect the Baltic region. The sources of this information stem from one of Lithuania’s major news portals, Lrytas, as well as comments from the participating military experts.

The roots of this simulation lie in perceived threats to the Baltic states from Russia, highlighting a potentially dangerous scenario if Russia were to launch a frontal attack on NATO’s eastern flank. The simulation outlined that a Russian attack might originate from occupied Latvia, as well as

ملخص الأخبار

• يتوقع السيناريو هجوماً من روسيا عبر لاتفيا المحتلة وكالينينغراد وبيلاروس، مع تراجع القوات الليتوانية وحلفائها.
• يشمل السيناريو مناورات ألمانية بارزة قد تغير مسار المعركة في شمال ليتوانيا وتوقع خسائر كبيرة لكلا الجانبين.
• توصي الدراسة بزيادة ميزانية الدفاع إلى 4% من الناتج المحلي وزيادة تواجد القوات والعتاد العسكري للناتو في المنطقة.
• تشير المحاكاة إلى خسائر ضخمة للطرفين، وتركز على أهمية التحضير السريع وزيادة تعزيزات الناتو.